Can We Optimize Retinopathy of Prematurity Screening by Combined Risk Score Analysis?
Can We Optimize Retinopathy of Prematurity Screening by Combined Risk Score Analysis?

Can We Optimize Retinopathy of Prematurity Screening by Combined Risk Score Analysis?

J Pediatr. 2025 Mar 18:114544. doi: 10.1016/j.jpeds.2025.114544. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate a composite metric incorporating the DIGIROP-Birth (DRB) and Neonatal Research Network BPD Outcome Estimator (NRN BPD) for predicting severe retinopathy of prematurity requiring treatment (TR-ROP).

STUDY DESIGN: This was a retrospective cohort study of 990 infants born prematurely undergoing dilated eye exams between January 2010 and August, 2023. We performed a chart review to assess a primary outcome of TR-ROP, and secondary outcome of stage 2 or greater ROP. DRB and 14-day NRN-BPD scores were quantified for each infant, and optimal thresholds for predicting TR-ROP were analyzed using receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves. Sensitivity and specificity for TR-ROP were assessed.

RESULTS: Of the 990 infants, 364 (36.8%) had stage 2 or greater ROP and 68 (6.9%) had TR-ROP. ROC analysis with (95% CI) showed areas under the curve (AUC) of 0.867 (0.829-0.906) for DRB and 0.845 (0.809-0.881) for NRN-BPD. Optimal cutoff scores were 1.7 for DRB and 40% for NRN-BPD with respective sensitivities of 97% and 96%. Composite screening for babies meeting either cutoff allowed 100% sensitivity for predicting TR-ROP while decreasing number of infants qualifying for screening from 990 to 562 (43% reduction).

CONCLUSIONS: A composite metric using DigiROP-Birth and NRN BPD Outcome Estimator scores may allow an early, simple approach to predict TR-ROP with 100% sensitivity, yet allow significant reduction in the number of infants requiring screening eye exams. Additional large validation studies are needed.

PMID:40113074 | DOI:10.1016/j.jpeds.2025.114544